Tag: BRICS

Rio 2025 BRICS Paves Way for Global South Leadership

Posted on By Musanjufu Benjamin Kavubu

Dear Editor, in July, Brazil hosted the 17th BRICS summit on the theme “Strengthening Global South Cooperation for More Inclusive and Sustainable Governance”, and if by any chance you followed main stream media especially from Western outlets the emphasis was put on the absence of the Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russia’s Vladimir Putin. The West pushed this narrative to water down the 17 years of this summit. The BRICS is a group formed by eleven countries: Brasil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran. It serves as a political and diplomatic coordination forum for countries from the Global South and for coordination in the most diverse areas.

After the summit ended the former President of Russia Dmitry Medvedev said “BRICS is gaining authority. Trump announced that an additional 10% tariff would be imposed on any country that supports BRICS policy. So, we’re doing everything right!”. There was a myriad of development in Rio de Janeiro that are very important to the development of the global South and many based on the South-South framework. For starters on top of the already 11 member states at the moment going by the Kazan declaration  the Republic of Belarus, the Plurinational State of Bolivia, the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Republic of Cuba, the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Malaysia, the Kingdom of Thailand, the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, the Republic of Uganda, and the Republic of Uzbekistan attended as BRICS partner countries. Which is a stage to attaining membership status.

Uganda’s delegation was led by the Vice President H.E Maj. (Rtd) Jessica Rose Epel Alupo. The only lady to lead a delegation to the summit from a sovereign country in attendance.

Since BRICS prides itself in political and diplomatic coordination, western media didn’t report about the strongest of emphasis put on multilateral reforms especially with actions that amplify the theme of the summit, for example when it comes to making sure Africa, the Caribbean and South America take a more central role in organizations like the World Bank, the World Trade organization (WTO) and the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). The BRICS recognize the legitimate aspirations of African countries, as reflected in the Ezulwini Consensus and Sirte Declaration that advocate for Africa to have two Permanent seats and 3 non permanent seats at the UNSC, they also stressed that the UNSC reforms are to lead to the amplified voice of the Global South. Recalling the 2022 Beijing and 2023 Johannesburg-II Leaders’ Declarations, China and Russia, as permanent members of the UNSC, reiterated their support to the aspirations of Brazil and India to play a greater role in the UN, including its Security Council.

On the issue of poverty and inequality the BRICS put forward the reform of the world Bank and the IMF so that the Bretton Woods system can address the most critical issues of the global South in a just and with more meaningful representation. The BRICS expressed support for the 2025 World Bank shareholding review that is co-chaired by Brazil that is aimed at enhancing legitimacy of the world bank group so that it’s in a better place to really take on modern challenges like creating jobs for a youthful population and dealing with the climate crisis.

Reforming the WTO was very central to the proceeding especially at a time when commercial diplomacy through Tarrif hikes and other trade restrictions is taking place. BRICS is also advocating for the admission of Iran and Ethiopian into WTO. BRICS are also not going to support sanctions that violate international law, a huge push back to the West’s misuse of the concept.

The BRICS forum reappointed Dilma Rousseff to the presidency of New Development Bank (NDB) an institution that is continuing to grow especially with the capacity to raise money that is used to facilitate projects in the global South. To ensure financial independence and resilience a number of measures amongst BRICS members and partners were put in place for example the BRICS New Investment Platform, the BRICS Interbank Cooperation Mechanism, the Rapid Information Security Channel, and the Contingent Reserve Arrangement that is specifically for use of local currencies while sidelining the US dollar. The measures also facilitate Cross border payments, encourage funding of projects through fast and cheap payments.

Later this year Brazil will host COP30, and climate was very key to issues discussed at the 17th BRICS summit, the forum agreed to approach the climate change issue through multilateralism for example by upholding the Paris agreement and putting in place a BRICS climate leadership agenda dedicated to the climate crisis the world faces. It was agreed that each country should play it’s part and honor it’s commitment to climate financing and that there should be local solutions that don’t encourage protectionism in the pretext to combating climate change.

Peace and security was also top of the agenda, for starters there was concern for ongoing conflict around the world, and discouragement for increased military spending that is becoming the trend world over.  The BRICS jointly condemned the USA’s military actions on Iran that were against the UN Charter. On the Ukraine situation there was acknowledgement of the different national positions and a peaceful way forward was advocated for, and appreciation of mediation efforts like the Africa initiative.

On the Israel-Palestine question the BRICS strongly condemned Israel’s actions in Gaza for example the blocking of entry of humanitarian aid and called for an unconditional Ceasefire and the release of hostage on both sides and expressed support for a two state solution.

BRICS was very conscious on human rights, women’s empowerment, the summit committed to advanced collaborative endeavors like the BRICS Network of Universities. Encouraged celebration of cultural heritage and the return of cultural items taken from the global South. There was a very intentional pronouncement on the question of AI and technological advancements.

BRICS is growing, evolving and expanding as it proves its ready to take part in shaping a multipolar world that is inclusive and beneficial for especially the global South.

The writer is a research fellow at the Development Watch Centre.

Uganda’s BRICS Partnership: A Role in Reshaping the Global Order

Posted on By Shemei Ndawula

The BRICS summit in Rio was the death knell to the old world order. In a seismic shift of global power diplomacy, 11 countries; with Uganda being the sole representative from East Africa, were formally admitted into the alliance. This bold move is an undeniable vote of confidence into the promise of the alliance to scale inclusive growth and sustainable governance.

The parallel remarks by US President Trump labeling BRICS-aligned nations as “enemies” and threatening 10% tariffs on their exports, underscore the urgency of the BRICS vision of a multipolar world of open markets and mutual prosperity. President Trumps remarks ought to call for a diplomatic response, not retreat. Uganda has the enviable opportunity to leverage its BRICS role as a spur for  economic resilience and regional leadership, ensuring Africa’s voice plays a role in shaping the global agenda within the BRICS framework.

The BRICS alliance was formed on the premise of a single question; why? Why should a single nation’s currency (not backed by anything) be the reserve currency of the entire world? Why must the global power structure be perpetually tilted to favor a select few world powers who lord systems of governance and economic monopolies around the globe? Why must we maintain a global world order that cripples our economies, inflates our trade deficits, and keeps us in a perpetual cycle of non-developmental administrative restructures blind to our cultural diversity? Why must our survival be financed by non performative debts to maintain extractive economies?

BRICS offers a numerical answer of 4.5 billion people. Our partnership with the BRICS offers the Ugandan farmer(seven in 10 Ugandans are engaged in agriculture) an expanded market of 4.5 billion people to sell our coffee and to as well as a myriad of other farm products, the Ugandan entrepreneur joins an expanded economy of 27.35 trillion dollars to explore and for the government a NewDevelopment Bank that will finance not a hamster wheel of neo-colonial extraction but real infrastructural development. Trading in local currencies like the Chinese yuan and South African rand can stabilize incomes for Ugandan investors , freeing them from the evident volatility of dollar dependence.

President Trump’s tariff threats, aimed at BRICS members and partners, challenge our economic ties with the U.S, including vital health programs still reeling from the impact of the early aid cuts by the current administration. This is precisely why Uganda’s BRICS partnership matters both nationally and regionally. It offers a pathway to diversify our alliances, reducing reliance on any single global power and in the growing multipolar world. As a nationalist with an unwavering “America First” principle, President Trump ought to be the strongest proponent of BRICS which is hinged on cultivating independent yet inclusive frameworks for transnational cooperation with core principles of mutual respect, understanding, sovereign equality, solidarity, democracy inclusiveness, collaboration and consensus.

To fully embrace this moment, Uganda must act with strategic foresight. A dedicated BRICS envoy would ensure our priorities—trade equity, climate finance, and global governance reform—are central in the partnership’s high level discussions. As East Africa’s sole BRICS partner, Uganda’s uniquely suited to re-echo the voices of Kenya, Tanzania, and Rwanda and the broader African Union, advocating for a permanent African UN Security Council seat and funding for sustainable energy and knowledge transfer. A national BRICS strategy, shaped by academics, businesses, and communities, would unify our efforts, positioning Uganda as a regional leader. Our history of peacekeeping in Somalia and South Sudan shapes us as continental leaders who can lead on the global stage, bridging divides with diplomacy.

What BRICS brings to the table is partnership based on mutual respect and the highlevel discussion in Brazil was a stark contrast to the Whitehouse Luncheon organised for African heads of states that coincided with the Summit where President Trump is quoted telling the African presidents to “go a bit quicker than this because we have a whole schedule. If I could just have your name and country, that would be great. ”

BRICS is not a rejection of the West but a complement to it, offering Uganda flexibility to engage multiple partners on diversified fronts. The African Continental Free Trade Area, set to transform regional trade, can work alongside BRICS to strengthen our markets As well as other BRICS member implemented projects like the Belt and Roads Initiative by China which has already spurred significant progress in Africa. As a BRICS partner, Uganda must speak with clarity, advocating for a world order where power is shared, not hoarded. Our BRICS partnership is a call to lead, ensuring East Africa’s aspirations resonate globally.

Shemei Ndawula is a Senior Research Fellow at the Development Watch Center.

BRICS Foreign Ministers Brazil Meeting: What is Uganda’s Status?

Posted on By Musanjufu Benjamin Kavubu

On Monday 28th of April, BRICS foreign affairs ministers met in Brazil and they were hosted by Mauro Vieira, their counterpart, they gathered in Rio de Janeiro to discuss the group’s role in addressing global and regional crises and their common response to the trade war with the United States. Uganda’s foreign affairs minister did not make the trip.

On January 1st 2025 Uganda became a partner state of BRICS, as part of its journey to join the organisation. While there was excitement both in Uganda and across the continent, it’s very vital to go about this development with realism and pragmatism. There is a new process in place to become a member of the BRICS. Since the 3rd BRICS summit when South Africa joined in 2010, there were no additions to that formation until 2024 when the Arab Republic of Egypt, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, United Arab Emirates, Republic of Indonesia and Islamic Republic of Iran joined something that spurred the global South as a multilateral world was being birthed.

During the 16th BRICS summit in Kazan Russia, a framework was put in place to ensure those sovereign countries that found it logical to join were able to. At the moment a state must first be an observer state and fortunately Uganda never underwent this phase because it was prior to the Kazan developments, instead it acquired the partner states status and then the final stage will be member state. Uganda’s journey to join BRICS started on 11th November 2024 when the foreign minister Jeje Odongo Abubakher met his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov who extended a formal invitation for BRICS partner state status along with 13 other countries.

By January 1st 2025 Kampala had met the criteria that was put in place in the Kazan Summit in 2024. This implied that Uganda had proved herself as a partner and was ready to start the integration phase as a member state. The criteria has aspects like economic stability, geopolitical alignment, institutional reforms and consensus approval from the existing member states. The 10th member to be admitted, Indonesia was averaging an annual economic growth of about 5% before it proved itself for membership status. Geopolitically a partner state should commit to the organisation’s tenants like equal sovereignty. Countries should comply with the forum’s financial and governance standards like anti-corruption measures and in the past Brazil was able to veto Venezuela’s bid over electoral disputes. Most likely Uganda’s magic bullet will be its strategic location in East Africa as a trade gateway for the other members of BRICS and its historical role in the global South.

There are incentives that will motivate Uganda along with the other 8 countries that attained partner state status in January 2025 to strive for Member state status. BRICS is not anti-West but instead it’s an outfit that is taking up the gap of the post West dominated world. For Uganda to move from partner state to a Member of the BRICS, a number of strategic wins are on the horizon, from economic outlook to geopolitical and development space. Uganda, will have access to the New Development Banks (NDB), the famous BRICS bank. The financial institution offers alternative funding to specific infrastructure projects with better loan repayment as opposed to the IMF and World Bank.

Members of BRICS have direct access to the markets of other members which offer economic diversification. Uganda can look up to growth of its agriculture and mineral export with an already boom in coffee output and expected Petroleum production. On the economic front, BRICS is also trying to come up with a framework that is Western sanction-proof with lower dependency on the US dollar, something that can also stabilize the Ugandan Shilling if membership status is attained.

Member states of BRICS also have the opportunity to work together on technology transfer, on renewable energy for example under the new Environmental working group that was put in place during the Kazan Summit in 2024. Collaborations on such aspects can bring about a robust industrial phase that the global South needs to undergo. Geopolitically, BRICS membership offers huge leverage diplomatically especially when it comes to the United Nations setup and the need for reform including more African representatives especially on the sticking issue of the security council and the unjust veto power factor.

For Uganda to be more pivotal and influential in East Africa, BRICS membership would go a long way to facilitate its position as a regional power house, which is already a key player in Somalia’s rebuilding and the establishment of the sovereignty of South Sudan as a new country in the world. BRICS has proved itself an a balancing force that has seen China and India considered to be global rivals work together, this can give a chance to Uganda to widen it’s foreign policy beyond the established world hegemony and former colonial masters.

The beauty is that the partner status phase of the BRICS gives Kampala the flexibility to maintain its western alliances with Washington and Brussels but at the same time being watchful of over reliance on any side which is the essence of multipolarity. The stage is also a time to align with the BRICS core principles while safeguarding national and Pan-African interests on the way to Member status.

For now, the path is set and clear in the Kazan Summit declaration of 2024 on how Uganda can attain full member status of BRICS and the work should be cut out for the respective government department, agencies and ministries to cross the line. Membership Status will bring about academic cooperation and research which is vital for innovation, there a global South common interests, a promising acceleration of nuclear power output to change the energy sector, BRICS members have demographics that transition to a market for what could take up Uganda’s potential agricultural output and most importantly membership status will provide equality among the sovereign nations for starters in the formation and in the long run at the United Nation.

The writer is a research fellow at Development Watch Centre.

 

Celebrating Fruits of China’s South-South Cooperation Projects in Uganda

Posted on By Joshua Kingdom

In June this year, a three year South-South Cooperation (SSC) agriculture project between the governments of Uganda and China as well as the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO) will come to a close. As we look to a renewal that is almost certain, we can take a moment to reflect on the remarkable milestones arrived at during the years in which the partnership has run.

Having commenced by the agreement titled “Technical Assistance Under the South-South Cooperation with the People’s Republic of China in Support of the Development Strategy and Investment Plan 2010/11-2015/16 in the Republic of Uganda” back in 2012, and further extended one more time before its current dispensation, the SSC’s endurance owes to its results which cannot be overstated.

During the first and second phases therefore, there was an introduction of crop varieties that best responded to the needs of local farmers, the most impressive of which is perhaps proso millet. Its attributes made it more suitable for planting than the local finger millet– it grows for a shorter time (75 days rather than 90), requires less grains in planting (5kg per acre instead of 25), bares more yield (up to three times), and is drought resistant. Also witnessed, was astounding realizations in cases that involved diary farming where cows are reported to provide at least seven liters each per day up from just two.

The present SSC is not only interesting because it builds on these numbers however, but also because it makes part of a broader framework in which China has in recent years led an effort of helping contribute to the faster realization of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Dubbed the Global Development Initiative (GDI), this program singles out eight SDGs that Beijing feels require specific attention for the sake of the developing economies post Covid-19. This is further true now that 2030 is not far off.

In his 2022 address to the ministerial meeting of the Group of Friends i.e. the umbrella of nations and organizations that support the GDI cause, Chinese Foreign Minister (FM) Wang Yi, among other things outlined improvement in agricultural practices as key in realizing SDG 1 (ending poverty). To this end, he highlighted that, his country would world over restart the SSC which had up to that point concluded.

The FM further spelled out bold measures to accompany this arrangement that Uganda has since benefited from e.g. an agreement for technical support entered by China’s Academy of Agricultural Sciences and its International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development with FAO along with donation of data imperative for policy making to the United Nations like on arable land and forest coverage provided by the SDGSAT-1 satellite.

Interwoven around four objectives (development of aquaculture value chain, supporting livestock improvement, establishment of a technological transfer base, and development of high yield rice and foxtail rice) thus, it comes as no surprise that the period between 2022 and 2025 has been even more successful.

The SSC project during this time in the country has ensured that farmers in the areas of focus have very highly educated experts at their disposal for consultation something that greatly turned around their fortunes. In terms of the broader picture, there have been several collaborations between in-line institutions and their colleagues in China. Most notably, joint research by Shanghai Agro Biological Gene Center and the National Agricultural Research Organization resulted into the release of WDR-73, a genetically modified variety of rice that is incredible in its yield and doubles as drought resistant.

Food and Agriculture Organisation Uganda country Representative  Antonio Querido (maroon shirt) with Chinese ambassador to Uganda Zhang Lizhong (3rd right) the fingerling stocking activity at Aquaculture Research and Development Centre in Kajjansi on June 12, 2023 (Photo: Daily Monitor/ABUBAKER LUBOWA )

There has also been several sponsored visits of Ugandan officials to different regions of China for purposes of benchmarking best practices as well as in brokerage of associated policies. While attending the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation last year thus, the Minister of Agriculture, Animal Husbandry, and Fisheries Hon. Frank Tumwebaze entered an agreement with the General Administration of Customs of the Republic of China that allowed Uganda to export aquatic life and Chilies to the over 1.4 billion people market of China.

According to the minister, this was also the first time that Uganda would be exporting the second product to any part of the world there demonstrating China’s commitment to walk the talk. Therefore, as we approach the end of this partnership, considering the multitudes of success it came with, celebrations are in order. Viva  China-Uganda Cooperation.

The writer is a research fellow at the Development Watch Centre.

 

Wang Yi is Correct: Time Looks About Right For The Global South

Posted on By Joshua Kingdom

Having spent the last fifty years or so portraying itself as the anointed protector of the world, the last thing that the West would wish for is for stability to prevail in other regions while it disintegrates. And yet, as Europe gathers itself to patch up what is left of the NATO rags, this is exactly the place in which it finds itself.

Relatedly, it is more plausible that the inward looking frameworks being passed in the United States of America e.g. foreign aid cuts have more to do with a realization that her economy no longer has what it takes to pursue these ventures than the supposed misspending concerns.

The big mistake of the North that culminated into the harsh reality that the countries in the bloc now have to contend with, was a failure to appreciate the nuances associated with the developing world. Having landed on a couple of blanket terms one of which is “global south”, western politicians blinded themselves from a multiplicity of synergetic factors (say natural resources, geography, and population dynamics) existing in the over 100 emerging economies and so they underrated them– if not ignoring them altogether.

This meant that even countries in Asia, the Caribbean, or Africa whose governments were initially sympathetic to western ideologies found difficulty in communicating to the developed world unless they were picked on for strategic interests. An alternative had to be found thus, and it was. Most importantly, it is a model that works.

The trajectory onto which the once disenfranchised countries have set ever since is that of cooperation and it was best articulated by President Xi Jinping of China at the G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro last year as one that seeks to see “100 flowers” blossom in stark contrast to the usual hegemonic tendencies of super powers.

To this end, ensuing progress can be measured by the fact that several players in this new way of conducting international relations have leveraged domestic capabilities to support their compatriots who could otherwise not accomplish certain objectives. Like China’s Xi Jinping, Brazil’s President, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has been a big advocate of the admission of the African Union into the G20 grouping. Guided by her desire of building a community of shared prosperity for mankind, China has gone out of its way to support the economic development of African nations. As it stands then, the country has single-handedly lent more money to the continent than that given out by the World Bank, IMF, USA, Britain, France, and Germany combined.

If you are a numbers person, then I have some for you to crunch as they show strength on the economic front as well. By the end of 2024, the total GDP of the founding BRICS members (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) was more than that of the G7 economies. Expanding to all the countries making up the global south, they makeup 40% of global GDP today and 80% of economic growth. Inter-trade relations amongst these countries have also seen a boom as the consumption capacity in the West continues to fall. So in 2023, China’s exports to her allies exceeded what the country shipped to Europe and the United States.

With such facts and commitment among some major powers showing unwavering support for the global south, one can safely argue that the days for West’s global hegemony are numbered, multipolarity is unstable. As observed by Member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee who doubles as China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi as he engaged the media, the cooperation of the Global South will create the necessary environment needed for prosperity and growth of not only the global south but the entire world. “As the world is undergoing great transformation unseen in a century, historic changes are taking place in the East-West and South-North dynamics. The Global South holds the key to bringing stability to the world and making it a better place,” Wang Yi told news reporters.

In order to consolidate these gains and harness future prospects, formal and informal forums have been created e.g. the Shanghai Cooperation and Voice of Global South summits in another clear demonstration of a bold vision. Under these arrangements, care has been taken to ensure that members are best positioned to contribute in the best way that they can for the common interest of everyone involved. The admission of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to BRICS for instance, introduced the element of oil wealth in the organization. It is not surprising then that the membership of these umbrellas has been rising up dramatically in the last couple of years.

While the future for the global south looks promising,  as Chinese adage say, “众志成城”, loosely translated as “a united will can build a fortress” or “unity brings strength,” as global south gatheres efforts needed to build an ideal world,  unity among the grouping members will play a pivital role. This was ephasized by Wang Yi as he addressed the media observing that, ‘the Global South should stand together in unity. This year, China will host the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, Brazil the BRICS summit, and South Africa the G20 summit. We should speak in one voice to the world, safeguard our common interests, and steadily increase our representation and voice in global governance.”

With this momentum increasing further and further, the West is reluctantly coming to admit that it might very well not have what it takes to reckon with it. In a 2023 United Kingdom defense review for example, the government affirmed that there was a looming shift in the tide of geopolitics. Too bad for them if they find no recourse.

The writer is a research fellow at the Development Watch Centre.

 

TRUMP AND THE BRICS QUESTION: WHAT CURRENCY?

Posted on By Alan Collins Mpewo

By Alan Collins Mpewo,

Strange global times. Syria’s 50 years long guard has been pushed out of standing by the gunbarrel. The US that had long sought solutions to the pushover has decided to distance itself through its President, Trump, who like in his first term of presidency, ruled out wanton war on foreign soil. But Trump has been busy on tabs of excellency to realize his slogan, “make America great again.” As a reader, you are familiar with this phrase, but that is besides what has transpired in H.E Donald Trump’s first days. The BRICS has been in optics that even the outgoing US Executive has been careful at quick response through retaliation. The currency question – ‘Which global currency?’ You can deduce the extension to the question in your context. Which global currency for international trade? Business? Consortium exchanges? Which currency?

The dollar, without ” doubt has been on a run (still is) of global dominance that in many spaces, it is the cynical god of international finance. That an export farmer in Maputo, Mozambique to without foreseeable obstacles, has to heed to the global financial god’s declaration. To yield to compliance. So should the fabrics trader at Saint Catherine in Egypt, or a cosmetics shipper in São Paulo in Brazil. Other global currencies notwithstanding have kept their places on the financial radar but that is it, such are their places. But it is more than just the finances as generically understood. Since the Cold War, retaliation and offense has continued to evolve. Sanctions have gradually become a resounding declaration of ‘power’. To use the term ‘authority’ would be modest. Global power. Who rules what. Who does what. Who says what. Who suffers what. All these bundled are showcased in the consequences. Economies have collapsed because of sanctions. The consequences cannot be over emphasized.

Russia, and until the recent decades China, have become constant parallels to the Western power axis. The side looks given by mandated regulators like the UN have rather amplified the growing resentment from the BRICS. Until December, 2023, BRICS still maintained its founding membership since its formation in 2009, but as of February, 2024, more than 4 countries have joined the alliance, and about a dozen others had been invited to join as of October, 2024. It says a lot about the growing tensions over the scrambled power points globally and expected response to cross border bullying. The currency is now the ticket element to factor because with it, lies a possible circumvention of diplomatic suppression.

While one sees themselves for statesmen, others see for a tyrant. Trump is no stranger to this just as Putin and Xi Jinping have endured criticism. But this state of affairs is what if forming a paradox. Trump is resolute on effecting the ‘Make America Great Again’ project, but so are his far East adversaries. To all, tyranny is what many onlookers have expressed. The complexity has called for restraint in enforcement as noted by Putin regarding a slowed process of modeling a BRICS currency, halting the idea indefinitely for until it can be revived. However, that is not a case for other BRICS members who certainly have their attention seasoned to realising a BRICS currency. It suffices to say that while the fears of potential loss of the current currency dominance has been brushed off by Europe as nonexistent, President Trump’s statements against the BRICS idea rather gives a new outlook to potentially what might perhaps become public.

It is not common in international relations that events happen denied earlier turn out true and so is the timing, given the drastic BRICS membership extension. The US is going to scrap on new battle lines, this time not more of warfare as gunned into its current government’s philosophy of ‘each country’s internal fragile politics, to be determined internally without US intervention’ unless it concerns it, but rather a mild shake up of how far it would go if the BRICS member states finally put a final leg across the finish line. Expectations suffice, and to be fair, the pushback on sanctions. The ICC has gradually been falling for the outcry of impartiality and so were the sanctions against Israel’s Premier. More to look out for battle lines in Washington DC. It is going to be an interesting term in administration for the new US Executive regarding inherited conflicts, and shaping controversies.

But it remains certain that international trade and commerce is kind. Own it, own power. China figured this out in its shaping of the Industrial age and for decades now, manifestation is being showcased in its financial situation. That it is part of BRICS is another storyline. Two of the West’s greatest adversaries continue expanding alliances and since 2019, the shakeup has gained greater tract at it epicenter. One way or another, the BRICS currency will manifest, and when it does, the paradox will find new meaning. It may take decades to achieve, but with the present global tension, Trump will only slow the process.

The writer is a Lawyer and Senior Research Fellow, Development Watch Center .

2024 BRICS Summit: Geopolitics, Geoeconomics and Supply Chains; the Group to Set New World Order

Posted on By Musanjufu Benjamin Kavubu

Many experts have reduced BRICS to a mood, Economists are even saying dollarisation is a myth for left sympathisers and a new enchantment for the global South. Those who take it seriously see it as a threat to the World Bank and the IMF, the former dealing with short-term development plans across the world and the latter dealing with long term fiscal policies, this sets the dollar as the global leading currency and a tool for Western hegemony.

The USA’s economy is based on their military might and NATO. As the world changes there have been many developments and to counter Western led multilateral groups the global South has BRICS, which as of 2023  expanded to 10 countries.

The current BRICS Summit is today 22nd to the 24th of October 2024. For starters it’s reported that 34 countries in one form or another have applied to join the group. The is being viewed as a counter to the G7 and it’s taking even a grander shape on the security front which is a key pillar of its founding.

From the 10th of September to the 12th 2024 the Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted a meeting of National Security Advisors of all the members of the BRICS and that meeting was under the organization’s Political and Security Pillar of Cooperation. There are about 53 conflicts raging in the world today, the Russia-Ukraine and the Israeli brutal occupation of Palestine are the most outstanding causing seismic Geopolitical shockwaves world over. These conflicts disrupt global supply chains that are very vital to globalization in terms of trade especially amongst BRICS and the global South.

Let’s understand what Supply Chains and Geopolitics are first. A supply chain is the network of organizations, people, activities, information, and resources involved in the creation and delivery of a product or service from the supplier of raw materials to the end customer. It encompasses all the processes involved in sourcing raw materials, manufacturing, logistics, distribution, and retail, including the management of these activities to ensure efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and customer satisfaction. Basically the definition of Supply Chains can be swapped for the essence of the Belt and Road Initiative by China that is now a decade and has facilitate development of the world in general.

On the other hand Geopolitics that refers to  how geographical factors, such as location, natural resources, and physical terrain, influence the political power, decisions, and relationships between countries basically international relations. Geopolitics is how nations use their geographical advantages and go about challenges to pursue economic, military, and strategic goals on the global stage. If you look at the foundation of BRICS, you will notice how geography affects global politics and international relations.

Security situations throughout history have proven far and wide effects across the world, effects on every aspect of life, from social to economic. And in the last about 24 months there have been military drills amongst BRICS members aimed at safe guarding trade routes and ensure smooth flow of supply chains that are vital for humans civilization. In 2023 the Russian and South African Navies got together for a drill, in the Second quarter of 2024 the Russian Navy conducted drills with Cuba a vital global South country and very recently the Chinese Navy joined Russia for the Ocean 2024 drill. These drills are aimed to prepare for eventualities that may affect sea trade routes, that’s why they were conducted in the Arctic, Mediterranean, Pacific, Caspian and Baltic water ways.

The world geography has these areas that are prone to military and naval blockages during times of conflicts. Areas like the Strait of Hormuz controlled Largely by Iran and BRICS member in the Middle East, connects the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea vital for global oil supply a lot of it ending China. It one the reasons China had to bring Saudi Arabia and Iran together through its Global Security Initiative GSI for normalizing diplomatic relations. The Strait of Malacca connecting the Indian Ocean to the South China Sea, essential for trade between Asia and Europe. The Suez Canal that connects the Mediterranean Sea to the Red Sea helping to bypass the longer route around Africa. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait  between Yemen and Djibouti, connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, vital for shipping between Europe and Asia, has almost all major Navies operating in the area.

The Panama Canal that Connects the Atlantic and Pacific Ocean, Bosporus and Dardanelles Straits in Turkey a member of NATO but also seeking BRICS membership bridges the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, vital for Russian and Eastern European exports. The Cape of Good Hope on the South African coast serves as an alternative route if the Suez Canal is blocked, crucial for global trade. The Lombok Strait in Indonesia which is an alternative to the Strait of Malacca. All are Geopolitical chock points that are pivotal to global supply chains.

As the new world order faces off with the Western hegemony and developments like the BRICS bank being formed to counter the Bretton Woods another aspect is brought into play. Which is Geoeconomics that is basically about how countries use economic tools, policies, and strategies to advance their geopolitical goals. These tools range from trade agreements and investments for example the $ 50 Billion announced at FOCAC 9 in Beijing, to control over vital resources, like energy or rare earth metals.

Economic strength is a powerful asset in shaping global political power and achieving strategic ambitions. Sadly the West led by the USA and the whole EU see sanctions as the best tool to further this endvour. Today USA sanctions are used to disrupt global South supply chains which hinders development. It’s through embargoes that supply chains have taken the hit affecting even the most basic of traders in your local market to all kinds of consumers.

Supply Chains controls and disruptions even take extreme measures for example the latest case of Israeli operations in Lebanon, when a whole supply chains was compromised to plant explosives across the country.

The cross roads of supply chains, geopolitics, and geoeconomics is going  to shape the Multipolar world order, and the BRICS formation as a counterbalance to Western hegemony. It’s going to take everything for example naval drills and economic partnerships. Multipolarity is going to redefine everything. The current situations, mostly driven by the West, show how supply chains are no longer just about movement of goods but affect every aspect of modern human civilization.

Benjamin is a research fellow at the Development Watch Centre.

 

 

 

 

China-Africa Relations: A Win-Win For All

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By Steven Akabwayi

Increasingly, China is becoming a beacon of hope for the African continent. Now that the BRICS is here bigger, and better than before with the addition of two African countries with Egypt and Ethiopia joining South Africa, China will leverage this opportunity to strengthen its economic foothold on the African continent.

Speaking at the BRICS summit,  South African President Cyril Ramaphosa who was the summit’s chair envisioned a community of shared development and progress between China and Africa referring to it as “ a win-win” partnership.

“Our relationship with China will be one of promoting win-win outcomes based on important projects that we have initiated such as the African continental free trade area that is going to be the engine of our economic development”, noted South African leader, Cyril Ramaphosa.

On the other hand, his Chinese counterpart President Xi Jinping expressed commitment to supporting Africa’s industrialisation aspirations which will be achieved by rolling out the required initiatives. “China will launch an initiative in support of Africa’s industrialisation”, Xi said adding that the Chinese government will also harness its resources for cooperation with Africa and initiate business to support Africa in growing its manufacturing sectors so as to realise industrialisation and economic diversification.

Indeed, on the eve of the summit, in an Op-Ed, President Xi emphasised importance of mutual win-win cooperation between China and African countries which he emphasised will always be a guiding principle for China’s cooperation with African countries, writing that, it is “ten years since I put forth “sincerity, real results, amity and good faith” as the principles for China to develop its relations with Africa. The past decade has witnessed our joint pursuit of a China-Africa community with a shared future in the new era, and the completion and handover of a host of projects including the Africa CDC Headquarters, the Foundiougne Bridge in Senegal, the Nairobi Expressway and the Mombasa-Nairobi Railway, renewing China-Africa friendship across the vast lands of China and Africa…”

China has had several initiatives and interventions on the African continent one of them being the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The BRI that was launched in 2013 by President Xi Ping was based on the Silk Road that existed many centuries ago and acted as a global pathway for trade in goods and services also serving as a channel for sharing ideas and culture.

The BRI was primarily established to link East Asia and Europe through physical structure but was later expanded to Africa and other continents by the Chinese government significantly broadening the Chinese economic foothold on the continent.

Barely marking its first decade this year, the BRI’s impact have already been felt on the continent. Under the BRI there has been the establishment of railway networks in Eastern African countries connecting Addis Ababa and Djibouti, and other infrastructures such as ports in Kenya, and Karuma dam in Uganda among others.

These projects will accelerate regional integration by improving transportation and logistics which will boost economic development.

At the BRICS summit, member states expressed concern relating to trade-restrictive measures and inconsistencies stemming from international financial institutions such as the World Trade Organisation and the World Bank that are dominated by Western powers.

In his letter issued on 17th August, President Museveni with bitter concern condemned Bretton Woods institutions after the World Bank announced that it was freezing approval of new aid and loans towards Uganda the move that he described as an act an act of “provocation and arrogance”.

Many African countries have expressed resentment towards skewed financing arrangements from Western countries and institutions. These often come with stringent conditions that borrowers from developing economies must meet, the conditions which some observers say are always divorced from African realities and needs.

The harsh borrowing conditions by Western financial institutions have made most African countries turn towards China given its financing strategy that comes in the form of grants, aid, and loans at free or low interest rates.

The Chines loans are always directed on essentials sectors such as mining, transport and construction among others which boost Africa’s economies.

There has also been growing criticism and debates about unfair policies and practices by the Bretton Woods institutions.

Emerging economies have continuously called out America for holding unequal powers and favouritism towards Bretton Woods institutions weaponising dollar currency for example through unfair sanctions.

It’s against this backdrop that the BRICS leaders tasked their respective finance ministries and Central Banks to come up with a viable plan for the use of local currencies, payment instruments, and platforms by the time they report back for the next BRICS summit.

Steven Akabwayi is a Research Fellow at Sino-Uganda Research Centre.

BRICS: The Vehicle of Inclusive Development, Tranquillity and Multipolar World

Posted on By Allawi Ssemanda

The 15th BRICS Summit is ongoing in South Africa’s city of Johannesburg under the theme BRICS and Africa- Partnership for Mutually Accelerated Growth. The summit comes at a time when the world being tested by challenges such as geopolitical competition, the climate crisis, unilateralism, block confrontation with some countries in blocks promoting own security at the expense of others which critical analysts blame for the ongoing Russia-Ukraine crisis.

This year’s summit theme, gives hope African dream momentum. Almost all the leaders of the grouping which today accounts for 40% of global population and slightly more than 30% of world’s GDP are united and see African allies as equal partners. Also, the group’s success is making many countries court them with hopes of joining and benefiting from inevitable benefits that comes with being a member. More than 40 countries including Nigeria, Ethiopia, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Iran and United Arab Emirates have expressed interest to join the group. However, BRICS leaders must ensure that the group’s expansion is driven by real reasons and purposeful inclusion by admitting members that align with their “ideal” view of the multipolar world the group wants to build. This means their expansion must be strategic; candidates’ animosity towards the west should never be used as qualification for one to become a member.

This is not to say that the group should not expand. There are more reasons for the BRICS to expand now than ever before. As Chinese ambassador to South Africa, Chen Xiaodong recently observed, “the traditional global governing system has become dysfunctional, deficient and missing in action” while BRICS grouping has stood the test of the time as fierce defenders of international justice.

Also, having countries like Nigeria and Ethiopia as members of BRICS will help amplify African countries voice calling for reforms in the UN more audible. For long, African countries have called for reforms at the UN especially in the formation of the United Nations Security Council UNSC permanent members which African countries view as heavily biased against them.

It should be recalled that in 1945 when it was founded, only four African countries were members. Today, all the 54 African countries are full members of the UN. However, of the 193 member states, only United States of America (USA), United Kingdom, France, Russia and China commonly referred to as the 5P are the permanent members of the UNSC – the organisation’s highest decision-making body. This gives the five countries more powers (veto) when it comes to voting on important issues in the council.

The irony of this is that, Africa whose membership at the UN is close to 28% of the body’s total membership has no major role despite always being the centre of discussion during the council’s work. In 2018 for example, more than 50% of UNSC’s meetings, 60% of their official documents and about 70% of their resolutions contained chapter VII mandates all focused on Africa. This means that without Africa, the UN as a body is arguably incomplete. This is not to say that I don’t recognise the fact that in the UNSC Africa is represented by the so-called A3, a block of three elected African states. It is important to observe that, the A3 countries have no big say at the security council because, none has veto power as opposed to the other five states with permanent membership.

The good news is that all the BRICS founding members c, non is opposed to Africa having a representative at the UNSC with equal powers as it is with the 5P. They are all involved in calling for reforms at the UN including reforming the current financial systems dominated by the Bretton woods institutions which many analysts argue work on whims of the U.S and allies.

Critical analysis of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva who while defending closer ties with Africa noted that “Brazil is back on the continent it should never have left. Africa offers vast opportunities and enormous potential for growth,” to China and Russia who have been strong advocates of African interests, it is clear that African countries’ interests have strong backing among all the founding members of the BRICS  in their call for reforms in the so-called traditional global governing system.

The current rhetoric among BRICS leaders, there is no doubt that BRICS offers more benefits to Africa than any other grouping today including the G7 which has always promised and when it comes to implementation nothing comes as was the case with their promise during the 2021 G7 summit in Cornwall, England where they promised infrastructure support to African countries under what U.S ruler Joe Biden called “build back better for the world” (B3W) that never materialised before they changed it to another white elephant announced during the 2023 G7 summit in Japan’s city of Hiroshima.

On the eve of the ongoing BRICS summit, Chinese president Xi Jinping published an article in south African major dailies entitled “Sailing the Giant Ship of China-South Africa

Friendship and Cooperation Toward Greater Success” President Xi explained that; “China is ready to work with fellow BRICS partners to act on the BRICS spirit of openness, inclusiveness and win-win cooperation, build consensus on important issues, carry forward our tradition of independent diplomacy, and resolutely uphold international equity and justice. We will urge the international community to refocus on development issues, promote a greater role by the BRICS cooperation mechanism in global governance, and make the voice of BRICS stronger.”

Whether as a group or individual, BRICS countries have in many ways shown their resolve to work with African countries supporting, their social economic development. As President Xi observed in his ‘Sailing the Giant Ship of China-South Africa Friendship and Cooperation Toward Greater Success,’ “I will work with African leaders to bring more active, effective and sustainable development initiatives to Africa, expand cooperation in agriculture, manufacturing, new energy and digital economy, and facilitate Africa’s economic integration, industrialisation and agricultural modernisation. China will continue to work for substantive progress in African Union’s joining of the G20 this year, and looks forward to a greater role by African countries and the AU in international and regional affairs.”

In conclusion, in all aspects, the BRICS has great potential to grow while helping the entire global south to develop. With their continued push for a multipolar world and calling for reforms in the current global system, the question at the centre is whether the group is willing to overtly challenge the current global system which has arguably given them the platform and more importantly lessons to learn from, or if they will take a step back and fight covertly and and stay fighting within while pushing for the ideal world they dream of. The challenge with the latter is that with this option, they risk to lose their sight through socialisation and thereby abandoning the zeal of building their ideal world.

That said, the future of BRICS and by extension of Africa is bright. With win-win cooperation which BRICS countries support, working together in sincerity will see the alliance growing stronger as the grouping and Africa work together in building of a world with a shared future in the new era for mankind.

Allawi Ssemanda is a senior Research Fellow at the Development Watch Centre

 

China-Africa Leader’s Dialogue at the BRICS Summit

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The 15th annual BRICS summit in Johannesburg, South Africa covers an important theme of BRICS and Africa; Partnership for Mutually Accelerated Growth, Sustainable Development, and Inclusive Multilateralism. During this summit, the President of China, Xi Jinping will co-chair alongside Cyril Ramaphosa, President of South Africa the China-Africa leaders’ Dialogue as announced by the Chinese foreign ministry.

This dialogue suitably ties into the overall theme of the summit and has the potential to produce serious outcomes for the African leaders that will take part. China is Africa’s biggest trade partner and has strengthened economic and social ties with the continent through the Belt and Road Initiative, FOCAC, South-South cooperation programs, and a plethora of other development programs.

This dialogue is a vital opportunity for the exchange of ideas that could lead to significant changes on the continent. A major priority for African leaders should be a focus on further investment in the transition to digital economies. Africa still lags behind the rest of the world when it comes to the Internet of Things. Key sectors of the African economy such as health, education, transport, and Agriculture would be more productive if digitized.

Many African countries need to take advantage of the Digital Silk Road (DSR); a component of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The DSR is China’s rebranding of its continuous support for technological advancement all over the globe. During the 1990s, Africa experienced a telecommunications revolution and many Chinese firms set their eyes on the continent. The telecommunications revolution was largely due to many African countries liberalizing their telecommunications sectors and upgrading their infrastructure. This development has been driven by the increased use of mobile telephones and broadband for internet access. It is projected that by 2025 there will be about 615 million mobile subscribers in sub-Saharan Africa which is about 50% of the region’s population.

This digital revolution in the telecoms sector has largely been dependent on Chinese firms such as Huawei Technologies, China Telecom, and ZTE which have chipped substantial market share away from non-Chinese companies such as Nokia, Alcatel, Ericsson, and Siemens. Chinese technology firms have played a vital role in building, upgrading, and investing in Telecom’s infrastructure including internet backbone networks, satellites, and undersea cables. These companies offer affordable services and equipment and remain effective and productive.

Since world development is now driven by technology, the digitization of African economies should be higher on the list of priorities when African leaders meet with president xi Jinping. The Digital Silk Road initiative is rarely talked about for instance in a country like Uganda. It is the responsibility of the Ministry of ICT in this country to investigate this issue further and clearly discern opportunities for Uganda’s transition to a digital economy. A push should be made toward isolated individual country technology summits with China’s technology firms, where the youth and other stakeholders are given a chance to engage with these companies.

The citizens in many of the countries that will hold dialogue with the President of China are eagerly waiting for notable outcomes of the summit. It is imperative that African leaders should put the interests of their citizens at the forefront during such impactful deliberations with the continent’s largest trade partner.

Beyond the focus on Digital transition should be a discussion about the need for Africa’s Agricultural products to have a healthy access to the Chinese market. This is naturally conditioned on the quality of products Africans are putting on the market. For instance, the president of Uganda has always championed Uganda as a food basket and advocated for the need for Ugandans to earn from cash crop farming. This dialogue presents a unique opportunity to further this agenda.

Another important issue is that of climate change. African leaders should engage China on the transition to green economies. The latter has been a champion for sustainable development and the fight against climate change and has spent billions of dollars to the cause. A multilateral framework underscoring a combined effort to address climate change issues should be presented by the representatives of African countries during the dialogue. Africa is not the leading polluter in the world but is already suffering the harshest consequences of climate change and global warming. Furthermore, the continent is now faced with the dilemma of industrializing at the expense of the climate or going green at the expense of much needed industrialization and development. However, China could be a reliable partner in striking a balance. Much more investment is required in order for African countries to safely transition to green economies without sacrificing their right to industrialization and economic development.

Finally, the elephant in the room (or not in the room for this matter) should be discussed. This involves the collective west and its reaction to an increasingly pro-china Africa. In an international system based on realpolitik, every country’s interests come first and therefore, partnerships must be formed with this reality in mind. If China is interested in a long-term strategic relationship with Africa, it must offer terms much better and different from the west. And if African countries want to truly benefit from the partnership with China, they must adapt new ways of engaging with china, based on the principles of mutual benefit and placing African interests at the forefront.

The Writer is a Senior Research Fellow with Development Watch Centre